A Damage Assessment of the Bearing Capacity of Frozen Groundsdue to Temperature Change and Permafrost Thawingin the Arctic Zone of the Russian Federation by the Middleof the 21st CenturyстатьяИсследовательская статья
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Статья опубликована в журнале из перечня ВАК
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Дата последнего поиска статьи во внешних источниках: 10 апреля 2024 г.
Аннотация:Changes in the bearing capacity of frozen soils under various scenarios of warming in the Arcticzone of the Russian Federation (AZRF) by 2050 are considered. Deformations and destruction of buildingsand engineering structures in the Russian Arctic will be gradually developed. Taking into account the climaticscenarios (RCP2.6, RCP4.5, and RCP8.5), one-third of the AZRF territory will experience a decrease in thebearing capacity by more than 15% by the middle of the century. The Arctic coast of the European North ofRussia and the Yamal and the Gyda Peninsulas are in the danger zone.